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Estimating the effective lower bound for the Czech National Bank’s policy rate
Kolcunová, Dominika ; Havránek, Tomáš
This paper focuses on the estimation of the effective lower bound on the Czech National Bank’s policy rate. The effective lower bound is determined by the value below which holding and using cash would be preferable to holding deposits with negative yields. This bound is approximated on the basis of the storage, insurance and transport costs of cash and the loss of convenience associated with cashless payments. This estimate is complemented by a calculation based on interest charges reflecting the impact of negative rates on banks’ profitability. Overall, we get a mean of slightly below –1%, approximately in the interval (–2.0%, –0.4%). In addition, by means of a vector autoregression we show that the potential of negative rates is not sufficient to deliver monetary policy easing similar in its effects to the impact of the Czech National Bank’s exchange rate commitment during the years 2013–2017.
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Výhody a nevýhody zrušení hotovosti v České republice
Minářová, Kristýna
MINÁŘOVÁ, Kristýna. Advantages and disadvantages of abolishing cash in the Czech Republic: Bachelor Thesis. Brno: Mendel University in Brno, 2017. The aim of the bachelor thesis is to evaluate the potential benefits and costs of abolishing cash in the Czech Republic. The literary research briefly describes the development and nature of money with a focus on noncash payments. The following is a comparison of the cash and noncash situation in the Czech Republic and the Scandinavian countries, which are the closest cashless economy. The advantages and disadvantages of the cashless society are evaluated from the view of the three main interest groups - from the point of view of the state, the consu-mer represented by the households and the banking sector. Major analyzes include the elimination of gray economy, the security of noncash payments and the efficiency of the transmission mechanism of interest rates in the non-cash economy.
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Non-standard Monetary Policy Instruments of Central Banks
Šikulová, Markéta ; Bažantová, Ilona (advisor) ; Dupáková, Lenka (referee)
Non-standard Monetary Policy Instruments of Central Banks Abstract The aim of this study is to analyze non-standard monetary instruments of central banks and their impact on the example of concrete use of these instruments by the Czech National Bank and the European Central Bank. The first part of this study defines the essence, the implementors, the tasks, and the objectives of the monetary policy. Its tools are also disassembled, both standard and nonstandard. From non-standard instruments, closer attention is paid to the theoretical definition of quantitative easing, negative interest rates and long-term maintenance of the exchange rate commitment. I also deal with the legal anchor, organization, purpose, history, and concept of the monetary policy of two selected central banks, namely the CNB and the ECB. The next part of the study presents the concrete form of non-standard measures used by the CNB and the ECB, it deals with the specific reasons that the central banks led to their implementation, the objectives with which they were adopted and the impact these measures had on the Czech economy and the euro area. Based on the analysis, it is possible to confirm the tested hypothesis that the Czech National Bank and the European Central Bank have succeeded in meeting the objectives set before their...
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Negative interest rates as a monetary policy measure
Tvrdek, Filip ; Bič, Josef (advisor) ; Žamberský, Pavel (referee)
Bachelor thesis examines negative interest rates used as a monetary policy measure. In the first part, theoretic overview and description of current macroeconomic developments are provided, as well as reasons which led central banks to implement unconventional policy steps. In the main part of the thesis, possible effects of negative interest rate policy are presented and verified using the example of five economies - Sweden, Denmark, euro area, Switzerland and Japan. The final assessment states that negative interest rate policy brings mixed results with strong possible threats in the future.
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Negative interest rates in the context of deflation threats
Jenis, Filip ; Koderová, Jitka (advisor) ; Metrah, Samy (referee)
The introduction of negative interest rates, as an additional tool of unconventional monetary policy in recent years, leads to many, yet largely polarized debates about the implications of the unconventional monetary policy of central banks. The main reason for their introduction in some economies, namely the threat of deflation, is also questioned, as well as the negative side effects of this instrument on financial stability and economic growth, and finally, their limited scope is under scrutiny. Due to the still insufficient research in this field, the aim of the diploma thesis is to evaluate the concerns and the main long-term risks and impacts of the monetary policy using negative interest rates in the context of deflation threats. The analysis of available data confirms both the concerns about the negative effects of negative interest rates on the banking sector, the recovery process of public finances, the possible rise of a price bubble on the financial markets and real estate markets, or on the possibility of excessive risk taking, and on the other hand draws attention to the direct dependence between negative impacts and the duration of monetary policy using negative interest rates.
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Behavior of bonds conditioned by negative interest rates
Biljakov, Nik ; Stádník, Bohumil (advisor) ; Galuška, Jiří (referee)
Current economic situation is characterized for deflation and low inflation, low economic growth, and low or negative interest rates, which lead to phenomenon of issuing governments bonds with negative yield. The main goal of this work is to understand the valuation and behavior of bonds with condition of negative interest rates, analyze impacts of negative rates on volatility of bonds. This work also compares the behavior of negative yields of bonds in contrast with positive yields. The contribution of this work consists in the critical evaluation of limitations of the formula for calculating the bond price to fulfill its role if the values of negative interest rates are too low.
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Analysis of interest rate swaps after the financial crisis
Lukeš, Filip ; Málek, Jiří (advisor) ; Fleischmann, Luboš (referee)
The goal of this master thesis is to analyze main changes affecting interest rate swaps in the Czech republic, which took place since 2007, in areas of regulation, valuation of interest rate swaps and negative interest rates. The first part defines derivative and describes sort of derivatives and type of swaps. The second part deals with interest rate swaps, pricing and valuation, and contractual documentation. The third part explains the impact of regulation MiFID I, EMIR and MiFID II on interest rate swaps. The fourth part analyzes changes in interest rate swaps valuation and negative interest rates issues.
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